The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 30.3%
Draw 26.6%
Milton Keynes Dons 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
27.3%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
27.4%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milton Keynes Dons's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burton Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
39.1%
13%
47.8%
Burton Albion - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). MK Dons will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%). Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 27.4% – 68.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20).
Burton has the most likely position - 15 (29.44%), project points - 56, currently - 55, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (52.36%), project points - 45, currently - 44, a chance of relegated (48%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 0.
Recent matches Burton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
MK Dons is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
MK Dons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
MK Dons will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Burton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.