The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 21.1%
Draw 26.1%
Bradford City 52.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.1%
28.1%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
27.7%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.
Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burton Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
14.3%
71.4%
Burton Albion - Bradford City Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Bradford will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford: 47.7% โ 95.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Addai C. (G) 6. Sibbick T. 12. Evans G. 16. Tilt C. (C) 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 41. Krubally S. 4. Chauke K. 24. Araujo H. 18. Vickers C. 8. Webster C. 9. Arubi G.
21. McCracken J. (G) 28. Pennington M. 15. Baldwin A. 16. Pratt G. 27. O'Keeffe C. 10. Sarcevic A. (C) 6. Connolly C. 3. Touray I. 24. Swan W. 23. Pointon B. 9. Beesley J.
Substitutes
23. Adiele E. 29. Adom K. 14. Collar W. 19. Dennis M. 32. Kean J. (G) 10. O'Mahony M. 20. Sraha J.
1. Dawson C. (G) 5. Gillesphey M. 11. Humphrys S. 19. Jackson K. 32. Lapslie G. 8. Phillips A. 25. Powell N.
Coaches
Bowyer G.
Duff M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Borges Rodrigues R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Tilt C. 🟨,
52', Sarcevic A. 🟨,
61', Arubi G. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
62', Pointon B. ↓, Humphrys S. ↑,
62', Beesley J. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
72', Vickers C. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
77', Humphrys S. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
81', Sibbick T. 🟨,
84', Sarcevic A. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
87', Evans G. ↓, Sraha J. ↑,
89', Krubally S. 🟨,
90+4', Touray I. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion - Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3.
In recent outings, Burton has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bradford shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Burton has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bradford is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Burton: Lewis J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Bradford: Neufville J.
(Muscle Injury)
Wright T.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Burton: Lofthouse K.
(Inactive).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Burton has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:16 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Burton against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 12:6 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Bradford City
12
6
4
2
10:5
5
22
12
Burton
13
4
5
4
18:19
-1
17
Outrights of English League One for now
Bradford City: 8.36% Burton: 0.58%
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.05%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Addai C. (G) 
Sibbick T. 
Evans G. 
Borges Rodrigues R. 
Chauke K. 
Arubi G. 
McCracken J. (G) 
Touray I. 
Duff M. 
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