Match Info

K League 2 - Round 26

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Yishunsin Stadium (Asan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Chungnam Asan		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.65
	2.42	3.25	2.68
	2.54	3.35	2.84
	3.28	3.27	2.17	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.45	3.24	2.68	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.64 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chungnam Asan
36.5%

Draw
28.6%

Busan I Park
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chungnam Asan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chungnam Asan than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chungnam Asan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Busan I Park will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Chungnam Asan (votes: 2 - 40%). Busan I Park (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Chungnam Asan (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Chungnam Asan (votes: 3 - 50%). Busan I Park (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 76. Lee Ho-In 20. Jo Ju-yeong 4. Jang Jun-Yeong 14. Lee Hak-Min 28. Son Jun-Ho 24. Park Se-Jik 3. Baek I. 39. Kim Sung-hyun 97. Lokolingoy C. 22. Kim Seung-Ho (C)	1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Cho Wi-Je 3. Oh Ban-Suk 88. Kim Se-Hoon 6. Lee Dong-Su 7. Xavier 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 10. Fessin 9. Gonzalo Fornari 11. Villero P.
Substitutes
6. Choi Hee-Won 7. Denisson Silva 72. Han Kyo-Won 21. Kim Jin-Young (G) 9. Kim Jong-Min 10. Kim Jong-Suk 25. Park J.	29. Choi Gi-Yun 24. Hong Uk-Hyeon 37. Kim Dong-Wook 27. Kim Hyun-Min 42. Lee Hyun-Jun 66. Lee S. 21. Park Dae-Han (G)
Coaches
Bae Sung-jae .	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Baek I. ↓, Park J. ↑,
32', Kim Sung-hyun ↓, Kim Jong-Min ↑,
33', Kim Jong-Min (Pen),
42', Kim Jong-Min 🟨,
45+3', Son Jun-Ho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Villero P. (Pen),
63', 0 - 1, Gonzalo Fornari ⚽,
64', Fessin ↓, Kim Hyun-Min ↑,
64', Gonzalo Fornari ↓, Choi Gi-Yun ↑,
66', Lee Hak-Min ↓, Choi Hee-Won ↑,
66', Kim Seung-Ho ↓, Han Kyo-Won ↑,
71', Kim Jong-Min ↓, Denisson Silva ↑,
80', Cho Wi-Je 🟨,
85', Oh Ban-Suk ↓, Hong Uk-Hyeon ↑,
85', Xavier ↓, Lee S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chungnam Asan won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Busan I Park may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chungnam Asan won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chungnam Asan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Chungnam Asan - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chungnam Asan
South Korean K-League 2
15.08.25	Ansan Greeners - Chungnam Asan	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Chungnam Asan	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Chungnam Asan - Hwaseong	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Bucheon - Chungnam Asan	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTTTL
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
17.08.25	Cheonan City - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Busan I Park - Incheon United	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Busan I Park - Bucheon	4:2 ✺
19.07.25	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
04.05.25	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:0
18.08.24	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	0:1
16.06.24	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	0:0
11.05.24	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:3
21.10.23	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	1:2
28.05.23	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:0
09.04.23	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	1:1

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