Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Buxton		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.44	Watch
	5.75	4.2	1.44
	6.1	4.8	1.45	Watch
	6.2	4.6	1.44
	6.15	4.76	1.47
	6.5	4.33	1.47
	6.4	4.7	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.23 ↓ (8.3)	4.59 ↓ (5.15)	1.45 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
15.1%

Draw
20.4%

Morecambe
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

18.5%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

9.5%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buxton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-28.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morecambe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Buxton - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Buxton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Morecambe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Buxton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Morecambe have a series of home games.

In this match Morecambe is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
23.11.21	Buxton - Nantwich Town	1:1 ✺
20.11.21	Lancaster City - Buxton	1:0 ✺
13.11.21	Buxton - Hyde United	3:0 ✺
09.11.21	Buxton - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.21	York City - Buxton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWWW
- Morecambe
English League One
27.11.21	Morecambe - Milton Keynes Dons	0:4 ✺
23.11.21	Morecambe - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Fleetwood Town - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Morecambe - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Morecambe - Newport County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWLW

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