Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 35

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	beIN Connect
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, Orange Futbol 2, #Vamos
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Cádiz		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	2.85	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.75
	2.6	2.95	2.9	Watch
	2.71	2.97	2.9	Watch
	2.68	2.96	2.9	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.97)	2.92 ↓ (2.99)	2.87 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
35.4%

Draw
32%

Elche
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

31.4%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

31.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	45.5%	36.4%

Cádiz - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Elche will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Elche (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Elche (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gil D. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 14. Kovacevic B. 5. Chust V. 37. Climent M. 27. Diakite M. 4. Alcaraz R. 7. Sobrino R. 8. Fernandez A. (C) 22. Ontiveros J. 16. Ramos C.	13. Dituro M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 12. Salinas J. 7. Plano O. 21. Castro N. 14. Febas A. 20. Valera G. 9. Alvarez A. 19. El Ghezouani M.
Substitutes
13. Caro J. (G) 19. De la Rosa J. 17. Escalante G. 3. Fali 23. Fernandez C. 9. Marti R. 18. Matos Jose 25. Melendo O. 10. Ocampo B. 21. Ortega I. 2. Zaldua J.	8. Aguado M. 16. Alex Martin 31. Hernandez G. 3. Izquierdo J. 17. Josan 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 10. Mercau N. 23. Pejino 11. Rashani E. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Garitano G.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Alvarez A. 🟨,
32', Sobrino R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Febas A. ↓, Aguado M. ↑,
54', Diakite M. 🟨,
61', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Mercau N. ↑,
64', Carcelen I. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Nunez A. ⚽, Valera G. (A),
67', Fernandez A. ↓, De la Rosa J. ↑,
67', Sobrino R. ↓, Melendo O. ↑,
67', Diakite M. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
77', Plano O. ↓, Josan ↑,
81', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
84', Castro N. ↓, Hernandez G. ↑,
84', Ontiveros J. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
84', Ramos C. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
84', Aguado M. ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,
90+1', Salinas J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 1.

Recent matches Cádiz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elche in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Elche: Diaby B. (Injury) Donald J. (Personal Reasons) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Ontiveros J. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:17 (average 1.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
06.04.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
31.03.25	Cádiz - Eibar	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Tenerife - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Cádiz - Granada	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLWW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
07.04.25	Elche - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Córdoba - Elche	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Elche - Eldense	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Elche - Castellón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.24	Elche - Cádiz	2:1
Spanish LaLiga
04.06.23	Elche - Cádiz	1:1
16.01.23	Cádiz - Elche	1:1
07.05.22	Cádiz - Elche	3:0
05.12.21	Elche - Cádiz	3:1
16.05.21	Cádiz - Elche	1:3
28.11.20	Elche - Cádiz	1:1

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