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Current Win Probability
Cádiz 33.1%
Draw 30.5%
Espanyol 36.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.2%
29.7%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
30.3%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.8%
41.1%
32.1%
Cádiz - Espanyol Predictions
Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 15 - 26.8%). Espanyol will win (votes: 18 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 41.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.2% – 54%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
Cádiz has the most likely position - 20 (16.23%), has project points - 36, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Espanyol has the most likely position - 16 (9.23%), has project points - 41, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality59, importance40, match rating49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 1.
The competitors look crappy now.
Cádiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Cádiz: Alarcon T.
(Injury)
Carcelen I.
(Red Card)
Mbaye M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Espanyol: Braithwaite M.
(Red Card)
Pedrosa A.
(Groin Injury)
Sanchez R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Espanyol: Calero F.
(Injury)
Gil O.
(Injury)
Lazo J. C.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
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