Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Espanyol		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.32	3.15	3.25	Watch
	2.42	3.25	3.32
	2.45	3.04	3.07	Watch
	2.38	3.36	3.36	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
40.6%

Draw
30%

Valencia
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.7%	36.8%	18.4%

Espanyol - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 17 - 44.7%). Valencia will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 28.9% – 60.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 2 - 20%). Valencia (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Valencia (1.66) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Valencia (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 38. Riedel C. 6. Cabrera L. 22. Romero C. 24. Dolan T. 18. Pickel C. 8. Exposito 10. Lozano P. 7. Puado J. (C) 19. Garcia K.	25. Agirrezabala J. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 5. Tarrega C. 4. Diakhaby M. 14. Gaya J. (C) 11. Rioja L. 22. Santamaria B. 18. Pepelu 16. Lopez D. 9. Duro H. 7. Danjuma A.
Substitutes
5. Calero F. 9. Fernandez Jaen R. 1. Fortuno A. (G) 4. Gonzalez U. 27. Hernandez J. 17. Jofre 16. Koleosho L. 20. Roca A. 15. Rubio M. 12. Salinas J. 2. Sanchez R. 14. Terrats R.	10. Almeida A. 15. Beltran L. 24. Comert E. 3. Copete J. 12. Correia T. 1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 8. Guerra J. 27. Otorbi D. 19. Raba D. 17. Ramazani L. 23. Ugrinic F. 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Gonzalez M.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Danjuma A. ⚽, Rioja L. (A),
38', Pickel C. 🟨,
38', Diakhaby M. 🟨,
43', Lopez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Santamaria B. 🟨,
57', Pickel C. ↓, Fernandez Jaen R. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Cabrera L. ⚽, Exposito (A),
60', Lopez D. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
60', Pepelu ↓, Ugrinic F. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Duro H. ⚽, Ugrinic F. (A),
68', Lozano P. ↓, Gonzalez U. ↑,
68', El Hilali O. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
71', Danjuma A. ↓, Correia T. ↑,
76', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
76', Rioja L. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
82', Dolan T. ↓, Roca A. ↑,
82', Romero C. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
90+4', Agirrezabala J. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Puado J. ⚽, Fernandez Jaen R. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 0.

Espanyol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valencia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Espanyol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Espanyol: Milla P. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Valencia: Ramazani L. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Real Madrid - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Espanyol - Mallorca	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Espanyol - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LWWTW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Barcelona - Valencia	6:0 ✺
29.08.25	Valencia - Getafe	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Osasuna - Valencia	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Valencia - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
22.04.25	Valencia - Espanyol	1:1
18.12.24	Espanyol - Valencia	1:1
28.05.23	Valencia - Espanyol	2:2
02.10.22	Espanyol - Valencia	2:2
14.05.22	Espanyol - Valencia	1:1
31.12.21	Valencia - Espanyol	1:2
16.07.20	Valencia - Espanyol	1:0

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