Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 4

Date: 1 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Pulido J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Cádiz		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.45	3.45	2.18
	3.3	3.5	2.18
	3.46	3.56	2.21
	2.88	3.25	2.1
	3.35	3.6	2.11	Watch
	3.35	3.55	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.09)	3.47 ↑ (3.47)	2.17 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
28.8%

Draw
27.4%

Villarreal
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

27.1%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.5%	20.4%	55.1%

Cádiz - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 12 - 24.5%). Villarreal will win (votes: 27 - 55.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 41.2% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 23. Hernandez L. 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 11. Alejo I. 4. Alcaraz R. 17. Escalante G. 18. Machis D. 21. Marti R. 16. Ramos C.	13. Jorgensen F. (G) 8. Foyth J. 3. Albiol R. (C) 5. Cuenca J. 24. Pedraza A. 21. Pino Y. 22. Suarez D. 20. Terrats R. 16. Baena A. 7. Moreno G. 11. Sorloth A.
Substitutes
8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 6. Jose Mari 33. Lucas Pires 14. Mbaye M. 9. Negredo A. 7. Sobrino R. 2. Zaldua J.	27. Akhomach I. 26. Altimira A. 9. Brereton Diaz B. 6. Capoue E. 4. Comesana S. 2. Gabbia M. 17. Kiko 23. Mandi A. 15. Morales J. L. 10. Parejo D. 1. Reina P. (G) 14. Trigueros M.
Coaches
Sergio	Setien Q.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 1.

Recent matches Cádiz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarreal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarreal will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cádiz: Guardiola S. (Hip Injury) Ocampo B. (Knee Injury) San Emeterio F. (Red Card)

There will not play in Villarreal: Coquelin F. (Knee Injury) Moreno A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Chust V. (Muscle Injury) Mere J. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
26.08.23	Cádiz - Almería	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Barcelona - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
14.08.23	Cádiz - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Cádiz - Lecce	1:1 ✺
04.08.23	Córdoba - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWTT
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
27.08.23	Villarreal - Barcelona	3:4 ✺
18.08.23	Mallorca - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Villarreal - Betis	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Newcastle United - Villarreal	4:0 ✺
05.08.23	Nice - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.05.23	Villarreal - Cádiz	2:0
01.10.22	Cádiz - Villarreal	0:0
20.03.22	Cádiz - Villarreal	1:0
26.10.21	Villarreal - Cádiz	3:3
21.03.21	Villarreal - Cádiz	2:1
25.10.20	Cádiz - Villarreal	0:0
Club Friendly
12.08.17	Cádiz - Villarreal	0:3

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