Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 7

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Finland	CMore
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Cádiz		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.65	3	2.85
	2.7	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.9
	2.75	3.05	3.02
	2.6	3.1	2.88
	2.69	3.06	2.89	Watch
	2.7	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.42)	3.08 ↓ (3.13)	2.9 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
35.9%

Draw
31.1%

Rayo Vallecano
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.3%	30%	26.7%

Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 25.6% – 61%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 23. Hernandez L. 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 11. Alejo I. 4. Alcaraz R. 17. Escalante G. 18. Machis D. 21. Marti R. 25. Gomez M.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 20. Balliu I. 16. Mumin A. 24. Lejeune F. 12. Espino A. 19. de Frutos J. 21. Ciss P. 8. Trejo O. 23. Valentin O. (C) 18. Garcia A. 34. Camello S.
Substitutes
13. Gil D. (G) 19. Guardiola S. 6. Jose Mari 12. Kouame R. 33. Lucas Pires 14. Mbaye M. 22. Mere J. 27. Navarro R. 9. Negredo A. 16. Ramos C. 7. Sobrino R. 2. Zaldua J.	10. Bebe 13. Cardenas D. (G) 3. Chavarria P. 22. de Tomas R. 9. Falcao R. 5. Hernandez A. 17. Lopez U. 29. Mendez D. 7. Palazon I. 14. Perez K. 6. Pozo J. 2. Ratiu A.
Coaches
Sergio	Rodriguez F.

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Cádiz: Ocampo B. (Knee Injury) San Emeterio F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Chust V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Falcao R. (Injury) Nteka R. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
24.09.23	Betis - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Athletic Bilbao - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
01.09.23	Cádiz - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Cádiz - Almería	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Barcelona - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWTL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
24.09.23	Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.09.23	Betis - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.02.23	Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
22.10.22	Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz	5:1
06.03.22	Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano	2:0
26.09.21	Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
14.06.20	Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
10.11.19	Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz	1:1
01.04.18	Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz	1:1

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