Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 5

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	22:00	Optus Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	09:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport
Finland	15:00	CMore Sport
France	14:00	beIN Sports Max
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports
Poland	14:00	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	13:00	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	14:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	13:00	Viaplay


	Athletic Bilbao		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.62	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.63	3.8	6
	1.64	3.89	6.24
	1.5	3.5	5.8
	1.6	3.82	6.1	Watch
	1.61	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)	3.77 ↓ (4.03)	6.19 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
59.5%

Draw
25.2%

Cádiz
15.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

22.9%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	15.6%	0%

Athletic Bilbao - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simon U. (G) 18. de Marcos O. (C) 3. Vivian D. 4. Paredes A. 17. Berchiche Y. 6. Vesga M. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 9. Williams I. 8. Sancet O. 7. Berenguer A. 12. Guruzeta G.	1. Ledesma C. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 23. Hernandez L. 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 11. Alejo I. 4. Alcaraz R. 17. Escalante G. 7. Sobrino R. 16. Ramos C. 21. Marti R.
Substitutes
13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 5. Alvarez Y. 29. Ares A. 14. Garcia D. 19. Garcia de Albeniz I. 22. Garcia R. 30. Gomez U. 21. Herrera A. 15. Lekue I. 10. Muniain I. 24. Prados Diaz B. 20. Villalibre A.	8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 6. Jose Mari 33. Lucas Pires 18. Machis D. 14. Mbaye M. 22. Mere J. 27. Navarro R. 9. Negredo A. 24. San Emeterio F. 2. Zaldua J.
Coaches
Valverde E.	Sergio

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cádiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cádiz have a series of home games.

In this match Athletic is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Athletic won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
03.09.23	Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Athletic Bilbao - Betis	4:2 ✺
19.08.23	Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWLT
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
01.09.23	Cádiz - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Cádiz - Almería	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Barcelona - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
14.08.23	Cádiz - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Cádiz - Lecce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
03.02.23	Athletic Bilbao - Cádiz	4:1
29.08.22	Cádiz - Athletic Bilbao	0:4
21.04.22	Cádiz - Athletic Bilbao	2:3
05.11.21	Athletic Bilbao - Cádiz	0:1
15.02.21	Cádiz - Athletic Bilbao	0:4
01.10.20	Athletic Bilbao - Cádiz	0:1

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