Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Movistar Plus+ 1, #Vamos
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Cádiz		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3	3
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.4	3.11	3.4
	2.39	3.12	3.22	Watch
	2.37	3.18	3.17	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.55)	3.1 ↓ (3.13)	3.21 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
40.3%

Draw
30.4%

Real Oviedo
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.7%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Cádiz - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gil D. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 14. Kovacevic B. 5. Chust V. 18. Matos Jose 22. Ontiveros J. 4. Alcaraz R. 12. Kouame R. 10. Ocampo B. 23. Fernandez C. 15. Mwepu F.	13. Escandell A. (G) 2. Lemos A. 15. Luengo O. 12. Calvo D. 3. Alhassane R. 7. Moyano F. 5. del Moral A. 11. Colombatto S. 16. Chaira I. 8. Cazorla S. 9. Alemao
Substitutes
21. Alarcon T. 24. Antonio Cristian 33. Cabrera J. 13. Caro J. (G) 19. De la Rosa J. A. 17. Escalante G. 9. Marti R. 16. Ramos C. 6. San Emeterio F. 7. Sobrino R. 2. Zaldua J.	24. Ahijado L. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 23. Hassan H. 17. Masca 28. Miguelez S. 26. Narvaez M. (G) 14. Paraschiv D. 6. Sibo K. 29. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Lopez P.	Calleja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Alhassane R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Carcelen I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Moyano F. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
60', Mwepu F. ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
60', Cazorla S. ↓, Sibo K. ↑,
60', del Moral A. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
66', Sibo K. 🟨,
68', Ontiveros J. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
68', Fernandez C. ↓, Escalante G. ↑,
71', Chaira I. ↓, Masca ↑,
71', Alemao ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
85', Kouame R. ↓, Zaldua J. ↑,
85', Ocampo B. ↓, San Emeterio F. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Ramos C. ⚽, Alcaraz R. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 3.

Cádiz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oviedo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oviedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cádiz will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cádiz: Alejo I. (Yellow Cards) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Jose Mari (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Costas D. (Calf Injury) Pomares C. (Leg Injury) Seoane J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Marti R. (Muscle Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
23.10.24	Eibar - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cádiz - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Cádiz - Málaga	2:2 ✺
04.10.24	Huesca - Cádiz	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Cádiz - Eldense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
22.10.24	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Málaga - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
13.10.24	Real Oviedo - Almería	3:2 ✺
06.10.24	Levante - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Real Oviedo - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.07.20	Cádiz - Real Oviedo	2:0
15.12.19	Real Oviedo - Cádiz	0:2
03.02.19	Real Oviedo - Cádiz	2:1
01.09.18	Cádiz - Real Oviedo	1:1
10.02.18	Cádiz - Real Oviedo	2:1
17.09.17	Real Oviedo - Cádiz	1:0
04.03.17	Real Oviedo - Cádiz	2:1

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