Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Villanueva J. I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Cádiz		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	6	3.5	1.65	Watch
	5.75	3.5	1.68
	6	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.85
	6.2	3.58	1.69
	5.8	3.6	1.6
	6.15	3.62	1.65	Watch
	6	3.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↑ (4.45)	3.58 ↑ (3.47)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
16.4%

Draw
26.8%

Real Sociedad
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.2%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

26.9%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.4%	14.5%	77.1%

Cádiz - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 7 - 8.4%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 64 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 68.1% – 86.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gil D. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 3. Fali 5. Chust V. 33. Lucas Pires 11. Alejo I. 4. Alcaraz R. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Navarro R. 16. Ramos C. 25. Gomez M.	1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Odriozola A. 5. Zubeldia I. 24. Le Normand R. 17. Tierney K. 23. Mendez B. 4. Zubimendi M. 8. Merino M. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 19. Sadiq U. 14. Kubo T.
Substitutes
26. Aznar Ussen V. (G) 19. Guardiola S. 15. Hernandez J. 12. Kouame R. 18. Machis D. 14. Mbaye M. 22. Mere J. 9. Negredo A. 10. Ocampo B. 24. San Emeterio F. 7. Sobrino R. 2. Zaldua J.	21. Andre Silva 11. Cho M. 6. Elustondo A. 9. Fernandez C. 26. Gonzalez U. 28. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 32. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 18. Traore H. 22. Turrientes B.
Coaches
Sergio	Alguacil I.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 0.

Recent matches Cádiz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Sociedad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Cádiz: Escalante G. (Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Marti R. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Ankle Injury) Mendez B. (Broken Hand) Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
17.12.23	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Cádiz - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Arandina - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.12.23	Celta de Vigo - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
29.11.23	Mallorca - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTLTT
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
17.12.23	Real Sociedad - Betis	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.12.23	Inter Milan - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.12.23	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Andratx - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.12.23	Osasuna - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
03.03.23	Real Sociedad - Cádiz	0:0
14.08.22	Cádiz - Real Sociedad	0:1
12.05.22	Real Sociedad - Cádiz	3:0
12.09.21	Cádiz - Real Sociedad	0:2
07.02.21	Real Sociedad - Cádiz	4:1
22.11.20	Cádiz - Real Sociedad	0:1

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