Match Info

LaLiga - Round 29

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Villarreal		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.75
	1.95	3.7	3.7	Watch
	2.02	3.75	3.98
	1.94	3.67	3.85	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.75
	2	3.72	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)	3.65 ↓ (3.86)	3.84 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villarreal
48.8%

Draw
26.2%

Real Sociedad
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

24.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.6%	16.9%	8.5%

Villarreal - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 44 - 74.6%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 5 - 8.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 63.5% – 85.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Real Sociedad (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 3 - 50%). Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 12. Veiga R. 24. Pedraza A. 19. Pepe N. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 20. Moleiro A. 7. Moreno G. (C) 9. Mikautadze G.	1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 31. Martin J. 5. Zubeldia I. 17. Gomez S. 7. Barrenetxea A. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 18. Soler C. 11. Guedes G. 23. Mendez B. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
17. Buchanan T. 23. Cardona S. 3. Freeman A. 11. Gonzalez A. 5. Kambwala W. 4. Marin R. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 10. Parejo D. 16. Partey T. 25. Tenas A. (G)	46. Aguirre I. 16. Caleta-Car D. 43. Carbonell T. 6. Elustondo A. 19. Karrikaburu J. 15. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 9. Oskarsson O. 24. Sucic L. 22. Wesley 21. Zakharyan A.
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Moreno G. ⚽, Comesana S. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Mikautadze G. ⚽,
23', 3 - 0, Pepe N. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
38', Aramburu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gorrotxategi J. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
47', 3 - 1, Sucic L. ⚽,
54', Zubeldia I. ↓, Caleta-Car D. ↑,
68', Mendez B. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
68', Aramburu J. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
74', Moreno G. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
74', Moleiro A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
78', Guedes G. 🟨,
82', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
85', Matarazzo P. 🟨,
89', Comesana S. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
89', Gueye P. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
89', Mikautadze G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Villarreal might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Perez A. (Contusion)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Herrera Y. (Injury) Kubo T. (Hamstring Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Turrientes B. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.44% Real Sociedad: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13:12	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
13.03.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Villarreal - Elche	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Barcelona - Villarreal	4:1 ✺
22.02.26	Villarreal - Valencia	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Levante - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLWW
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
15.03.26	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.03.26	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.26	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	2:3
20.04.25	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	2:2
13.01.25	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:0
23.02.24	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:3
09.12.23	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	0:3
02.04.23	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	2:0
09.10.22	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:0

Upcoming Matches