Match Info

Date: 4 November 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 4d 22h 📅 Remind Me


	Cúcuta Deportivo		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	3.35	2.23
	2.99	3.34	2.37
	2.95	3.32	2.33	Watch
	2.90	3.25	2.30
	3.11	3.32	2.19
	3.15	3.15	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.29 ↓ (3.35)	2.26 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cúcuta Deportivo
30.5%

Draw
28.3%

Independiente Santa Fe
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 4th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 2.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Cúcuta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Santa Fe holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Cúcuta has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:19 (averaging 1.6:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cúcuta against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:5 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Santa Fe	16	8	4	4	23:17	6	28
10	Cucuta	16	6	3	7	18:24	-6	21

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Santa Fe: 11.44% Cucuta: 1%

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
27.10.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Rionegro Águilas	0:2 ✺
24.10.26	América de Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:1 ✺
20.10.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Boyacá Chicó - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pereira	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLWWW
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
29.10.26	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
26.10.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
21.10.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
11.10.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
19.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo	5:0
02.10.20	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe	2:3
20.07.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0
30.01.19	Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:2
19.07.15	Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo	5:0
07.02.15	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2
02.11.13	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0

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