Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Óscar Quiteño (Santa Ana)

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
North-central-america	Centro America TV
Usa	Fubo Latino


	CD FAS		INCA-Aruba

	1	X	2
	1.13	6.25	26.00
	1.08	7.5	14.5
	1.12	7.81	13.23
	1.12	8	20	Watch
	1.09	6.75	12
	1.06	7.6	19.5
	1.09	7.4	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.28)	7.33 ↑ (4.75)	17.03 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD FAS
82.3%

Draw
12.3%

INCA-Aruba
5.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.9%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD FAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD FAS's performance.

INCA-Aruba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and INCA-Aruba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

CD FAS - INCA Aruba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. FAS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - FAS (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. FAS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Medrano E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Barahona J. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 8th).

FAS is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

INCA-Aruba is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

INCA-Aruba may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, FAS has faced a series of away games on the road.

FAS holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, FAS has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FAS	12	7	3	2	22:11	11	24
9	Inca Aruba	14	4	4	6	12:23	-11	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD FAS
El Salvador Primera Division
27.09.26	Municipal Limeño - CD FAS	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Cacahuatique - CD FAS	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - CD FAS	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	CD FAS - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTWW
- CD INCA-Aruba
El Salvador Primera Division
01.10.26	INCA-Aruba - Municipal Limeño	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - INCA-Aruba	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	INCA-Aruba - Fuerte San Francisco	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Águila - INCA-Aruba	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	INCA-Aruba - Atlético Balboa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
02.08.26	INCA-Aruba - CD FAS	0:4

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