Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	CD Guadalajara		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.35	3.05	2.98
	2.29	3.24	3.06
	2.34	3.21	3.02	Watch
	2.25	2.9	2.9
	2.27	3.06	3.01
	2.3	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.59)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	2.98 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
39.7%

Draw
29.7%

Arenas Club de Getxo
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

CD Guadalajara - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Guadalajara (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zarco A. (G) 2. Perez L. 4. Ablanque J. 23. Casado J. 16. Cadete 11. Alvarez U. 14. Tavares R. 7. Neskes 22. Samuel 17. Gomez J. 24. Caropitche S. M.	1. Gastesi O. (G) 21. Sillero J. 4. Alvarez P. 5. Garcia P. 16. Verde A. 24. Boriko S. 12. Lartitegi J. 8. Zabala M. 10. Hidalgo A. 22. Mattheus C. 2. Vizcay T.
Substitutes
9. Canizo A. 33. Exposito R. 5. Gallardo D. 18. Martinez J. 27. Mayo N. 20. Miki 19. Munoz P. 15. Rodriguez V. 6. Rojo P. 13. Vicente D. (G)	25. Aragoneses S. (G) 27. Bazaga O. 3. Fernandez Cozar M. 14. Glazer T. 15. Mathieu K. 6. Merino J. 19. Mutilva C. 13. Pena A. (G) 23. Sustatxa A. 11. Troncho A. 9. Vazquez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Mattheus C. 🟨,
35', Caropitche S. M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
35', Cadete ↓, Canizo A. ↑,
42', Zabala M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Zabala M. ↓, Sustatxa A. ↑,
58', Mattheus C. ↓, Troncho A. ↑,
63', Lartitegi J. ↓, Mathieu K. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Perez L. ⚽,
72', Hidalgo A. 🟨,
75', Neskes ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
75', Alvarez U. ↓, Miki ↑,
75', Hidalgo A. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
75', Vizcay T. ↓, Bazaga O. ↑,
82', Martinez J. ↓, Mayo N. ↑,
87', Ablanque J. 🟨,
90+2', Samuel 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Guadalajara has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arenas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Arenas Getxo	6	0	2	4	4:14	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.01.26	Tenerife - CD Guadalajara	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	CD Guadalajara - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.02.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Osasuna B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Cacereño - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Madrid Castilla	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Zamora - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - CD Guadalajara	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.05.16	CD Guadalajara - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1
19.12.15	Arenas Club de Getxo - CD Guadalajara	2:1

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