Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Fadura (Getxo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.38	3.05	2.92
	2.6	3.2	2.94
	2.26	3.19	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.8
	2.49	3.22	2.8
	2.5	2.8	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.22)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	2.88 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
38.1%

Draw
30%

Ourense CF
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.2%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenas Club de Getxo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arenas Club de Getxo - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gastesi O. (G) 21. Sillero J. 4. Alvarez P. 24. Boriko S. 19. Mutilva C. 5. Garcia P. 12. Lartitegi J. 8. Zabala M. 10. Hidalgo A. 23. Sustatxa A. 2. Vizcay T.	1. Raton A. (G) 2. Coto E. 5. Prado M. 12. Jelbat A. 3. Sanz H. 21. Guerrero A. 22. Yuste A. 6. Castillo N. 8. Ramos J. 11. Aranzabe A. 9. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
31. Benitez E. (G) 3. Herranz Jimenez G. 22. Mattheus C. 13. Pena A. (G) 17. Rodriguez J. L. 11. Troncho A. 9. Vazquez A. 15. Viglo S.	7. Bouzaig A. 20. Gueye L. 16. Munoz D. 10. Ochoa M. 14. Perez A. 23. Punzano I. 18. Rabadan D. 15. Rivas L. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Vizcay T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Castillo N. ↓, Rabadan D. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Hidalgo A. ⚽,
57', Aranzabe A. ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
57', Yuste A. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
59', Lartitegi J. ↓, Herranz Jimenez G. ↑,
61', Ramos J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
71', Sergio Benito ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
75', Hidalgo A. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
75', Vizcay T. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Rabadan D. ⚽,
88', Sustatxa A. ↓, Troncho A. ↑,
90+4', Mattheus C. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Arenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arenas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Arenas Getxo	6	0	2	4	4:14	-10	2

Last Results with these Odds

Arenas Club de Getxo - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.01.26	Osasuna B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Cacereño - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Madrid Castilla	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Zamora - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.01.26	Ourense CF - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Ourense CF - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ponferradina - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Ourense CF - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Lugo - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.25	Ourense CF - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0

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