Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Zamora		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.25
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.62	3.6	5.15
	1.6	3.87	5.31	Watch
	1.62	3.1	5
	1.68	3.45	5.49
	1.53	3.66	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	3.51 ↑ (3.48)	5.22 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
56.7%

Draw
25.9%

Arenas Club de Getxo
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Zamora - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamora (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Zamora will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 4. Athuman I. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 20. Codina M. 22. Sancho J. 7. Kike 10. Ramos C. (C) 16. Lozano M. 15. Buron L. 18. Farrell J. 11. Romero Morillo A.	1. Gastesi O. (G) 21. Sillero J. (C) 19. Mutilva C. 5. Garcia P. 20. Zabaleta E. 24. Boriko S. 10. Hidalgo A. 16. Verde A. 22. Mattheus C. 11. Troncho A. 15. Diocou B.
Substitutes
17. Carbonell J. 14. Claveria P. 9. Eslava J. 6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 3. Merchan D. 19. Monerris A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 5. Ruiz E. 27. Sy M.	4. Alvarez P. 3. Herranz Jimenez G. 18. Honrado A. 12. Lartitegi J. 13. Pena A. (G) 17. Rodriguez J. L. 23. Sustatxa A. 9. Vazquez A. 8. Zabala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Sancho J. ⚽,
38', Troncho A. 🟨,
40', Verde A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Romero Morillo A. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
70', Troncho A. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
73', Farrell J. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,
74', Verde A. ↓, Zabala M. ↑,
75', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟨,
77', Zabala M. 🟥,
82', Zabaleta E. ↓, Sustatxa A. ↑,
82', Mattheus C. ↓, Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
86', Kike ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
86', Buron L. ↓, Monerris A. ↑,
88', Hidalgo A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 13).

Zamora has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Arenas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Zamora is a strong favorite.

We predict that Zamora will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
20	Arenas Getxo	6	0	2	4	4:14	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Zamora	2:3 ✺
12.12.25	Cacereño - Zamora	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Zamora - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Osasuna B - Zamora	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Zamora - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWW
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Pontevedra - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ponferradina - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Tenerife	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWL

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