Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	CD Guadalajara		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.27	3.20	3.08	Watch
	2.2	3.02	3.19
	2.3	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.27)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.14 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
41.4%

Draw
29.6%

Mérida AD
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

CD Guadalajara - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zarco A. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 4. Ablanque J. 23. Casado J. 18. Martinez J. 21. Ramirez M. 22. Samuel 20. Diaz B. 6. Rojo P. 7. Neskes 10. Amigo D.	1. Csenterics A. (G) 20. Jacobo R. 15. Martinez G. 5. Dominguez J. 3. Lancho J. 10. Doncel C. 21. Beneit R. 18. Dibrani B. 8. Solar M. 7. Chiqui 9. Garcia A.
Substitutes
30. Batan A. 9. Canizo A. 16. Cera 27. Mayo N. 19. Munoz P. 15. Rodriguez V. 29. Verdu M. 13. Vicente D. (G)	11. Areso J. 13. Cacharron P. (G) 16. Capitas M. 26. Gil A. (G) 12. Gomes R. 17. Herranz Corral V. 4. Pareja L. 24. Pereira R. 19. Pipe 22. Rivas M. 23. Verges E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Casado J. (Own goal),
30', 0 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
45+4', Lancho J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+7', 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mérida AD may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guadalajara will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

CD Guadalajara - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.88%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - CD Guadalajara	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Arenteiro - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTTL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Navalcarnero - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.10.25	Mérida AD - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenteiro	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWLW

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