The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arenas Club de Getxo 41.6%
Draw 30.9%
CD Guadalajara 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
28.9%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
28.1%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenas Club de Getxo's performance.
CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Club de Getxo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arenas Club de Getxo - CD Guadalajara Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.75, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Pena A. (G) 21. Sillero J. (C) 4. Alvarez P. 23. Sustatxa A. 20. Zabaleta E. 7. Collado U. 8. Zabala M. 10. Hidalgo A. 16. Verde A. 15. Diocou B. 9. Vazquez A.
1. Zarco A. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 4. Ablanque J. 23. Casado J. 18. Martinez J. 11. Alvarez U. 22. Samuel 20. Diaz B. 6. Rojo P. 7. Neskes 9. Canizo A.
Substitutes
24. Boriko S. 5. Garcia P. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 3. Herranz Jimenez G. 18. Honrado A. 25. Jarauta J. (G) 12. Lartitegi J. 22. Mattheus C. 14. Messina F. 19. Mutilva C. 17. Rodriguez J. L. 11. Troncho A.
. Batan A. 16. Cera 19. Munoz P. 21. Ramirez M. 28. Rios M. 15. Rodriguez V. 29. Verdu M. 13. Vicente D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Diaz B. 🟨,
11', Martinez J. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Vazquez A. (Pen),
26', Alvarez P. 🟨,
31', Diocou B. 🟨,
36', Zabala M. 🟨,
37', Diaz B. (Pen),
45+3', 2 - 0, Collado U. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sillero J. 🟨,
54', Samuel ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
54', Diaz B. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
66', Gallardo D. ↓, Cera ↑,
66', Alvarez U. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Vazquez A. (Pen),
77', Vazquez A. ↓, Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
77', Hidalgo A. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
77', Zabala M. ↓, Mutilva C. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
Recent form of Arenas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Arenas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Spain
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Pena A. (G) 
Boriko S. 
Messina F. 
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