Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	CD Guadalajara		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.6
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.52	3.2	2.58
	2.44	3.28	2.81
	2.51	3.32	2.71	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.63
	2.4	3.14	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.83)	3.15 ↑ (3.08)	2.64 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
36.9%

Draw
28.8%

Celta de Vigo B
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

CD Guadalajara - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Celta de Vigo B (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta de Vigo B (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zarco A. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 23. Casado J. 15. Rodriguez V. 2. Perez L. 20. Miki 14. Tavares R. 3. Moreno A. 8. Calvo T. 17. Gomez J. 10. Amigo D.	1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 3. Ribes K. 4. Vazquez J. 26. Rodriguez A. 2. Gavian P. 8. Antanon A. 10. de la Iglesia D. (C) 14. Oliveras J. 37. Kibet A. 19. Marcos O. 9. Marin A.
Substitutes
11. Alvarez U. 16. Cadete 27. Mayo N. 19. Munoz P. 7. Neskes 6. Rojo P. 34. Susilla S. 13. Vicente D. (G)	21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 32. Khayat A. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 34. Perez H. 35. Perez-Lafuente J. 29. Sobral M. 17. Somuah B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Marin A. 🟨,
22', Perez L. ↓, Cadete ↑,
24', Marin A. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Gomez J. ⚽,
41', Gallardo D. 🟨,
45+9', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Moreno A. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
46', Vazquez J. ↓, Somuah B. ↑,
48', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
64', Calvo T. 🟨,
70', Calvo T. ↓, Rojo P. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Munoz P. ⚽,
74', Oliveras J. ↓, Khayat A. ↑,
83', Marcos O. ↓, Perez-Lafuente J. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Amigo D. ⚽,
88', Miki ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Guadalajara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celta de Vigo B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guadalajara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Celta de Vigo B - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.8%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.03.26	Zamora - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Lugo - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	CD Guadalajara - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Tenerife - CD Guadalajara	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLWL
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.02.26	Celta de Vigo B - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés	4:2 ✺
08.02.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.09.25	Celta de Vigo B - CD Guadalajara	0:1

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