Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Zamora		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.5
	1.8	3.3	4.35
	1.84	3.46	4.4
	1.8	3.5	4.39	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.73	3.32	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.66)	3.3 ↓ (3.68)	4.36 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
51.1%

Draw
27.8%

CD Guadalajara
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24.2%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Zamora - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 16. Lozano M. 4. Athuman I. 3. Merchan D. 15. Buron L. 8. Marcelo A. 7. Kike 10. Ramos C. 19. Abde 17. Carbonell J.	1. Zarco A. (G) 15. Rodriguez V. 2. Perez L. 23. Casado J. 5. Gallardo D. 14. Tavares R. 20. Miki 3. Moreno A. 10. Amigo D. 19. Munoz P. 11. Alvarez U.
Substitutes
6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 9. Losada M. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 5. Ruiz E. 27. Sy M.	8. Calvo T. 33. Exposito R. 17. Gomez J. 27. Mayo N. 6. Rojo P. 34. Susilla S. 29. Verdu M. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Abde ⚽,
18', Marcelo A. 🟨,
27', Merchan D. 🟨,
37', Buron L. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Alvarez U. ⚽,
45+2', Moreno A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marcelo A. ↓, Losada M. ↑,
46', Merchan D. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
48', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
51', Ramos C. 🟨,
61', Miki ↓, Calvo T. ↑,
61', Alvarez U. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
66', Calvo T. 🟨,
69', Gallardo D. 🟨,
75', Abde ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
78', Exposito R. 🟨,
80', Ramos C. ↓, Romero Morillo A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zamora is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zamora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.02.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Zamora	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Zamora - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Mérida AD - Zamora	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Zamora - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLWT
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.02.26	CD Guadalajara - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Lugo - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	CD Guadalajara - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Tenerife - CD Guadalajara	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	CD Guadalajara - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Zamora	2:3

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