The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Talavera de la Reina 32.4%
Draw 31.1%
Ferrol 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
30.9%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
31.3%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Talavera (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Talavera (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 5. Molina S. 4. Lopez A. 2. Cuenca D. 20. Ferni 8. Sanchez L. 16. Navarro I. 6. Pitu 21. Montero Sergio 9. Moreno M.
1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 4. Artetxe M. 3. Pujol E. 17. Ramon A. 7. Alvaro J. 8. Gorostidi A. 10. Pascu 6. Gonzalez F. 11. Dacosta R. 20. Gimenez A. (C)
Substitutes
15. Acosta L. 31. Antwi F. 23. Farrando M. 19. Gomez V. 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 24. Nordin M. 17. Ouacharaf B. 3. Roig A. 28. Sanchez A.
19. Azkune E. 18. Concha D. 25. Diaz L. (G) 9. Escobar A. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 22. Mardones A. 5. Noriega J. 21. Tavares M. 14. Tejera S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Ferni ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Molina S. ⚽,
37', Pitu 🟨,
39', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
43', Ramon A. 🟨,
45', Cuenca D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Miguel ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
46', Pascu ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
46', Gorostidi A. ↓, Tejera S. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽,
66', Dacosta R. ↓, Noriega J. ↑,
67', Ferni ↓, Roig A. ↑,
67', Pitu ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
67', Sanchez L. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽,
83', Artetxe M. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
84', 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0.
Talavera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ferrol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
Spain
Watch
#ad
Belman (G) 
Pujol E. 
Antwi F. 
Nordin M. 
Tavares M. 
