Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	CD Marathón		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	1.18	6	10.5
	1.22	4.8	7.5
	1.19	5.6	9
	1.16	5.68	10.11
	1.24	5.25	9.5
	1.18	6.7	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.51)	5.67 ↑ (3.74)	9.77 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Marathón
75%

Draw
15.8%

Real Sociedad
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

19.6%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Marathón's performance.

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marathón is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Real Sociedad have a series of guest games.

In this match Marathón is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Marathón to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Marathón won 8 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 29-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Marathón won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.11.20	Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón	0:2 ✺
22.11.20	CD Marathón - Platense	3:0 ✺
14.11.20	Real de Minas - CD Marathón	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF League
03.11.20	CD Marathón - Antigua GFC	2:1 penalties ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
31.10.20	Real España - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW
- Real Sociedad
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	AZ Alkmaar - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.11.20	Real Sociedad - Platense	2:3 ✺
22.11.20	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real Sociedad	5:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.20	Cádiz - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
14.11.20	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
04.03.20	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad	1:2
12.02.20	Real Sociedad - CD Marathón	1:2
18.09.19	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad	0:0
11.09.19	Real Sociedad - CD Marathón	2:5
28.03.18	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad	3:1
07.02.18	Real Sociedad - CD Marathón	1:0
23.11.17	Real Sociedad - CD Marathón	2:0

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