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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 40.4%
Draw 25.5%
Atlanta United 34.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.4%
25.2%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
24.2%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
CF Montréal - Atlanta United Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Atlanta (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Breza S. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 2. Neal J. 5. Craig B. 13. Petrasso L. 8. Longstaff M. 7. Pereira D. 16. Carmona W. 10. Sanchez A. 23. Streit N. 14. Rios D. (C)
1. Hoyos L. (G) 47. Edwards M. 27. Diaz P. 6. Alonso J. 3. Baez E. 14. Amaro M. 35. Fortune A. 59. Miranchuk Al. 10. Almiron M. (C) 11. Giuliano Galoppo 36. Embolo B.
Substitutes
25. Amaya F. 29. Escobar O. 21. Herbers F. 41. Keita S. (G) 26. Losenko I. 22. Loturi V. 24. Morales E. 6. Piette S. 18. Synchuk G.
7. Alzate S. 16. Gill A. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 4. Mihaj E. 8. Muyumba T. 22. Picault F. 48. Sanchez C. 19. Sergio Santos 30. Togashi C.
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.
Martino G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Almiron M. ⚽, Baez E. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Giuliano Galoppo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bugaj D. ↓, Morales E. ↑,
58', Alonso J. 🟨,
60', 0 - 3, Embolo B. ⚽,
66', Fortune A. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
67', Pereira D. ↓, Loturi V. ↑,
67', Longstaff M. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
67', Carmona W. ↓, Synchuk G. ↑,
74', Embolo B. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
75', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
81', Sanchez A. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
83', Almiron M. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
83', Amaro M. ↓, Muyumba T. ↑,
83', Escobar O. 🟨,
90+1', Picault F. 🟨,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 15th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Montreal: Gillier T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Hidalgo B.
(Groin Injury).
Confirmed absences for Atlanta: Chica D.
(Knee Injury)
Reilly W.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Montreal: Ceballos B.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Montreal has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:36 (averaging 1.3:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montreal against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:13 goals (averaging 1.4:1.3 per game).