Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal)

Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)


	CF Montréal		Houston Dynamo

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.6	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.66	3.44	2.77
	2.6	3.3	2.62	Watch
	2.54	3.4	2.67	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.38)	3.3 ↓ (3.38)	2.71 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
36.5%

Draw
28.7%

Houston Dynamo
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CF Montréal's performance.

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Houston Dynamo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CF Montréal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Dynamo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

CF Montréal - Houston Dynamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Houston will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Sirois J. (G) 24. Campbell G. 16. Waterman J. 4. Alvarez F. 15. Brault-Guillard Z. 6. Piette S. (C) 29. Choiniere M. 19. Saliba N. 11. Lassiter A. 90. Opoku K. 30. Quioto R.	12. Clark S. (C) 25. Dorsey G. 4. Bartlow E. 17. Hadebe T. 5. Steres D. 6. Artur 27. Caicedo M. L. A. 21. Quinones N. 20. Carrasquilla A. 32. Kowalczyk S. 18. Ibrahim A.
Substitutes
10. Duke B. 23. Jabang O. 17. Kwizera J. 21. Lappalainen L. 9. Offor C. 41. Pantemis J. (G) 14. Sunusi I. 13. Toye M. 2. Wanyama V.	11. Baird C. 8. Bassi A. 2. Escobar F. 7. Franco I. 31. Micael 35. Raines B. 3. Smith B. 13. Tarbell A. (G) 34. Ulfarsson T.
Coaches
Losada H.	Olsen B.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montreal won 3.

Montreal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Houston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Houston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Montreal: Herrera A. (Injury) Thorkelsson R. O. (Injury)

There will not play in Houston: Achara I. (Knee Injury) Schmitt T. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Montreal won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Montreal won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
MLS
30.09.23	Orlando City - CF Montréal	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Atlanta United - CF Montréal	4:1 ✺
20.09.23	CF Montréal - Cincinnati	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	CF Montréal - Chicago Fire	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	CF Montréal - Columbus Crew	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTL
- Houston Dynamo
MLS
30.09.23	Houston Dynamo - FC Dallas	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
27.09.23	Inter Miami - Houston Dynamo	1:2 ✺
MLS
23.09.23	Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
20.09.23	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	4:1 ✺
16.09.23	Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
13.08.22	Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal	2:3
03.11.21	CF Montréal - Houston Dynamo	2:0
09.03.19	Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal	2:1
02.06.18	CF Montréal - Houston Dynamo	1:0
05.07.17	Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal	3:1
06.08.16	CF Montréal - Houston Dynamo	1:0
11.04.15	Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal	3:0

Upcoming Matches