The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CRB Maceio 65.9%
Draw 23%
Botafogo PB 11.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
28.7%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
27.3%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CRB Maceio's performance.
Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo PB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CRB Maceio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo PB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
CRB Maceio - Botafogo PB Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 98. Falcao 8. Gege 26. Gustavo Henrique 32. Hereda 10. Jorginho 7. Mike 17. Romulo 4. Saimon 13. Willian Formiga
1. Dalton (G) 10. Bruno Leite 27. Bruno Mota 22. Erick 32. Evandro 7. Jean Silva 18. Lucas Siqueira 5. Rodrigo (C) 17. Sousa Tibiri 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar
Substitutes
16. Alejandro 6. Cesar C. 34. Darlisson 11. Diaz A. 40. Erik 35. Joao Neto 33. Joao Pedro 50. Lucas Kallyel 2. Matheus Ribeiro 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 19. Welder
12. de Oliveira W. G. (G) 3. Douglas 25. Gabriel Lima 26. Gustavo Poffo 8. Julio Rusch 2. Lenon 36. Paulinho 9. Pipico 6. Rafael Furlan 14. Renie 21. Warley
Coaches
Daniel Paulista
Junior M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodrigo ↓, Renie ↑,
46', Lucas Siqueira ↓, Julio Rusch ↑,
55', Julio Rusch 🟨,
57', Falcao 🟨,
62', Bruno Leite ↓, Paulinho ↑,
65', Jorginho ↓, Welder ↑,
65', Mike ↓, Cesar C. ↑,
70', Thallyson 🟨,
71', 🟨,
73', Willian Formiga 🟨,
74', Welder 🟨,
77', Sousa Tibiri ↓, Lenon ↑,
80', Romulo ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
89', Bruno Mota ↓, Pipico ↑,
90+1', Hereda ↓, Matheus Ribeiro ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Wendel Lomar (Pen),
1, Anselmo Ramon (Pen),
2, Pipico (Pen),
2, Gege (Pen),
3, Lenon (Pen),
3, Falcao (Pen),
4, Paulinho (Pen),
4, Matheus Ribeiro (Pen),
5, Julio Rusch (Pen),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
CRB in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Botafogo PB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Botafogo PB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match CRB is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's CRB to win the game is with odds 1.57.
Last 3 head-to-head matches CRB won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.