Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 13

Date: 1 July 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Vivo Play, Zapping


	CRB Maceio		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.6
	1.75	3.4	5
	1.77	3.43	5.7
	1.83	3.28	4.65
	1.75	3.3	4.8
	1.77	3.35	4.95	Watch
	1.71	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)	3.37 ↓ (3.47)	4.99 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
53.5%

Draw
27.8%

Brusque
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

25.1%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CRB Maceio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

CRB Maceio - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: CRB Maceio will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 26. Gustavo Henrique 3. Fabio Alemao 2. Matheus Ribeiro 98. Falcao 33. Joao Pedro 8. Gege 7. Mike 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 38. Leo Pereira	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 2. Everton Alemao 3. Ianson 4. Wallace (C) 26. Marcelo Nunes 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 19. Marcos Serrato 7. Dionisio 18. Keke 94. Paulinho Moccelin
Substitutes
6. Caio Cesar 34. Darlisson 23. Fabio (G) 37. Heron 35. Joao Neto 11. Jorge 5. Lucas Maceio 16. Rai 17. Romulo 1. Vitor Caetano (G)	70. Anderson Rosa 27. Diego Mathias 11. Diego Tavares 33. Madison 31. Matheus Silva (G) 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 9. Olavio 80. Osman 99. Robinho 15. Ronei 29. Wellissol
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Luizinho Vieira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Dionisio 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mike ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
46', Falcao ↓, Romulo ↑,
63', Keke ↓, Madison ↑,
63', Rodolfo Potiguar ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
65', Matheus Ribeiro ↓, Jorge ↑,
68', Dionisio ↓, Diego Mathias ↑,
68', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Olavio ↑,
75', Mateus Pivo ↓, Ronei ↑,
78', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Caio Cesar ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Anselmo Ramon ⚽, Caio Cesar (A),
87', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Heron ↑,
90+8', Marcos Serrato (Pen),
90+12', 1 - 1, Ianson ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match CRB is a favorite.

There will not play in CRB: Labandeira F. (Injury) Saimon (Injury)

There will not play in Brusque: Cristovam (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches CRB won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
22.06.24	CRB Maceio - Guarani	1:0 ✺
18.06.24	Paysandu - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.06.24	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	2:1 penalties ✺
05.06.24	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLWL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
22.06.24	Ituano - Brusque	1:1 ✺
19.06.24	Brusque - Avaí	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Brusque - Ceará	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	Amazonas - Brusque	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Brusque - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.10.22	Brusque - CRB Maceio	0:0
16.07.22	CRB Maceio - Brusque	1:1
15.11.21	Brusque - CRB Maceio	1:0
12.08.21	CRB Maceio - Brusque	3:0

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