Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 10

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+
World	Amazon Prime Video, Zapping


	Brusque		Ceará

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.25
	3.32	3.25	2.36
	3.32	3.23	2.34
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.21	3.2	2.27	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3)	3.17 ↑ (3.14)	2.29 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
28.9%

Draw
29.8%

Ceará
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.9%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

30%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Brusque - Ceará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 4. Wallace 2. Everton Alemao 21. Luiz Henrique 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 19. Marcos Serrato 7. Dionisio 27. Diego Mathias 66. Alex Ruan 10. Dentinho	1. Richard (G) 6. Ramos R. 40. Ramon Menezes (C) 4. David Ricardo 79. Matheus Bahia 5. Jean Irmer 8. De Lucca 97. Lourenco 16. Erick Pulga 31. Barcelo F. 73. Saulo Mineiro
Substitutes
11. Diego Tavares 3. Ianson 8. Jhemerson 18. Keke 33. Madison 26. Marcelo Nunes 6. Matheus Salustiano 31. Matheus Silva (G) 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 94. Paulinho Moccelin 99. Robinho 29. Wellissol	11. Aylon 27. Bruninho 94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 99. Guilherme Castilho 77. Janderson 10. Lucas Mugni 42. Matheus Felipe 12. Maycon Cleiton (G) 2. Rai Ramos 28. Recalde J. 96. Yago Lincoln
Coaches
Luizinho Vieira	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Alex Ruan 🟨,
43', Luiz Henrique ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Diego Tavares 🟨,
62', De Lucca ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Marcos Serrato ⚽,
67', Dentinho ↓, Wellissol ↑,
68', Diego Mathias ↓, Keke ↑,
71', Jean Irmer ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
71', Barcelo F. ↓, Aylon ↑,
73', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
79', David Ricardo 🟨,
80', Rodolfo Potiguar ↓, Ianson ↑,
81', Dionisio ↓, Madison ↑,
82', Madison 🟨,
86', Ramon Menezes ↓, Matheus Felipe ↑,
86', Saulo Mineiro ↓, Janderson ↑,
90+2', Richard 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 8).

Brusque is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ceará is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brusque could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brusque have a series of guest games.

Ceará will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Brusque: Cristovam (Injury)

There will not play in Ceará: Daniel Mazerochi (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
08.06.24	Amazonas - Brusque	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Brusque - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Vila Nova - Brusque	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.24	Atlético Goianiense - Brusque	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.05.24	Santos - Brusque	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTLL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
10.06.24	Vila Nova - Ceará	3:2 ✺
31.05.24	Ceará - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Ceará - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Ceará - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.05.24	Operário Ferroviario - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
23.09.20	Ceará - Brusque	5:1
16.09.20	Brusque - Ceará	0:2
07.02.18	Brusque - Ceará	0:1

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