Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Rotor		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	9	4.2	1.4	Watch
	8	4.33	1.4
	7.5	4.25	1.42
	7.4	4.4	1.39
	7.93	4.87	1.41
	7.5	4.4	1.4
	8.5	4.9	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.98 ↑ (7.61)	4.48 ↑ (4.29)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
11.9%

Draw
21.1%

CSKA Moscow
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

22%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

12.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-29.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	2.9%	82.9%

Rotor - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: CSKA Moscow will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation to FNL and 2 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Qualification)).

Rotor has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

CSKA has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (64%), has a chance of win league (31%).

Rotor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CSKA is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rotor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently CSKA have a series of home games.

In this match CSKA is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rotor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Premier League
24.10.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rotor	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
21.10.20	Krylya Sovetov - Rotor	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
18.10.20	Rotor - Tambov	0:2 ✺
03.10.20	Ufa - Rotor	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	Rotor - Rubin Kazan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLLTL
- CSKA Moscow
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
26.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Wolfsberger - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
18.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.20	CSKA Moscow - Rotor	0:0

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