The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CSKA Sofia 34.6%
Draw 29.6%
Qarabağ Agdam 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
28.2%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
27.2%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qarabağ Agdam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
43.6%
17.9%
CSKA Sofia - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 15 - 38.5%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 43.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28% – 59.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pastor 14. Ivanov T. 32. Rodriguez F. 17. Martino A. 5. Gbamin J. 7. Ebong M. 6. Jordao B. (C) 8. Sensi S. 28. Pittas I. 9. Godoy L.
99. Kochalski M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 55. Huseynov B. (C) 4. Varkonyi B. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 35. Pedro Bicalho 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 20. Kady Borges 10. Zoubir A. 11. Sawo Z.
Substitutes
11. Brahimi M. 80. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 99. Eto'o J. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 34. Kaymakanov V. 38. Leo Pereira 30. Panayotov P. 77. Piedrahita A. 94. Solet I. 91. Tunchev A. 19. Yordanov A. 10. Zwarts J.
49. Bashirov A. 32. Cabrayilzada H. 29. Cephas R. 5. Langa B. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 25. Makreckis C. 9. Montiel J. 7. Mouaddib J. 13. Mustafazada B. 22. Qurbanly M. 23. Zlomislic M. (G)
Coaches
Yanev H.
Qurbanov Q.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Jordao B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Godoy L. 🟨,
50', Jankovic M. 🟨,
55', Varkonyi B. 🟨,
70', Kady Borges ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
71', Jordao B. ↓, Eto'o J. ↑,
74', Eto'o J. 🟨,
82', Huseynov B. ↓, Makreckis C. ↑,
82', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
82', Kashchuk O. ↓, Mouaddib J. ↑,
89', Godoy L. ↓, Zwarts J. ↑,
90+2', Zoubir A. ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
95', Martino A. 🟨,
99', Martino A. ↓, Brahimi M. ↑,
100', Sawo Z. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
105+3', Ivanov T. 🟨,
106', Montiel J. 🟨,
112', Zwarts J. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Jankovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Pittas I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Matheus Silva (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ivanov T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mouaddib J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gbamin J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Cephas R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sensi S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Montiel J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Eto'o J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.
CSKA Sofia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Qarabağ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
CSKA Sofia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, CSKA Sofia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, CSKA Sofia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
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Lapoukhov F. (G) 
Pastor 
Ivanov T. 
Rodriguez F. 
Gbamin J. 
Jordao B. (C) 
Sensi S. 
Pittas I. 
Kochalski M. (G) 
Huseynov B. (C) 
Varkonyi B. 
Jankovic M. 
Kashchuk O. 
Zoubir A. 
Sawo Z. 
Eto'o J. 
Piedrahita A. 
Solet I. 
Zwarts J. 
Cephas R. 
Langa B. 
Makreckis C. 
Montiel J. 
Zlomislic M. (G) 
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