Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday


	Cañuelas		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.5	2.7	3
	2.26	2.95	3.15
	2.36	2.93	3.34
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.29	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.27	2.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.62)	2.9 ↑ (2.75)	3.18 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cañuelas
39.7%

Draw
31.5%

Defensores Unidos
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

32.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

34.6%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cañuelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cañuelas's performance.

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cañuelas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cañuelas - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 1.

Cañuelas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Defensores Unidos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Cañuelas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
01.10.22	UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Cañuelas - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Deportivo Armenio - Cañuelas	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Cañuelas - San Miguel	3:1 ✺
05.09.22	Fénix - Cañuelas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWT
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
02.10.22	Defensores Unidos - Argentino de Quilmes	4:1 ✺
24.09.22	Acassuso - Defensores Unidos	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Defensores Unidos - Colegiales	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Deportivo Merlo - Defensores Unidos	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Defensores Unidos - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
17.06.22	Defensores Unidos - Cañuelas	3:1
19.02.22	Cañuelas - Defensores Unidos	1:2
06.11.21	Defensores Unidos - Cañuelas	1:4
10.07.21	Cañuelas - Defensores Unidos	1:3
Argentinian Primera C
25.03.18	Defensores Unidos - Cañuelas	3:0
29.10.17	Cañuelas - Defensores Unidos	0:1
27.05.17	Cañuelas - Defensores Unidos	2:1

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