Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 25

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Cacereño		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.1	5
	1.7	3	5
	1.72	3.3	5
	1.72	2.93	4.38
	1.76	3.04	5.68
	1.75	3.25	5.05
	1.71	3.15	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.92)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)	5.02 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
52.6%

Draw
29.2%

UD San Fernando
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

30%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

28.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Cacereño - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cacereño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Cacereño - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Getafe B - Cacereño	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTTT
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.02.24	UD San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ursaria - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	UD San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	UD San Fernando - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Unión Adarve - UD San Fernando	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	UD San Fernando - Cacereño	2:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.03.22	Cacereño - UD San Fernando	3:2
17.10.21	UD San Fernando - Cacereño	1:1

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