Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free


	Clermont		Caen

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.3	Watch
	2.23	3	3.1
	2.38	3.26	3.3
	2.28	3.21	3.18	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.29	3.3	3.23	Watch
	2.23	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.12)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	3.19 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
41%

Draw
29.8%

Caen
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Clermont - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Caen will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Clermont: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Guivarch T. (G) 23. Kore Y. 21. Salmier Y. 20. Mwimba J. 31. Diallo B. 11. Douane M. 10. Saivet H. (C) 6. Keita H. 22. Armougom Y. 26. Bassouamina M. 18. Diedhiou F.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 4. Henry V. 20. Lebreton N. 27. Gaudin J. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 14. Rajot L. 10. Brahimi B. 8. Le Bihan M. 88. Ba Loua A. 19. Mendy A. (C)
Substitutes
44. Ackra A. 77. Baaloudj M. 37. Diagouraga T. 29. Fakili I. 27. Inchaud M. 4. Kabeya E. 1. N'Diaye M. (G)	16. Clementia Y. (G) 18. Coulibaly K. 17. Kyeremeh G. 28. Lecoeuche Q. 37. Milliner L. 91. Ntim E. 25. Sy L.
Coaches
Batlles L.	Der Zakarian M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Gaucho Debohi D. 🟨,
62', Mendy A. (Pen),
68', Diedhiou F. ↓, Inchaud M. ↑,
70', Douane M. 🟨,
70', Henry V. 🟨,
74', Le Bihan M. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
84', Saivet H. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
84', Brahimi B. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Coulibaly K. ⚽,
88', Ba Loua A. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
88', Armougom Y. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 1.

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Clermont will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Clermont: Bamba K. (Muscle Injury) Da Silva D. (Muscle Injury) Diallo B. (Muscle Injury) Diop O. (Muscle Injury) M'Bahia I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Caen: Benrahou Y. (Injury) Grandsir S. (Injury) Lecoeuche Q. (Injury) Mendy A. (Yellow Cards) Thomas R. (Red Card)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Clermont won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:15 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
21.02.25	Dunkerque - Clermont	3:0 ✺
14.02.25	Clermont - Bastia	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Metz - Clermont	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Clermont - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Lorient - Clermont	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
22.02.25	Caen - Pau	2:2 ✺
17.02.25	Annecy - Caen	1:0 ✺
10.02.25	Caen - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Troyes - Caen	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Caen - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
03.01.25	Caen - Clermont	0:1
15.05.21	Caen - Clermont	2:1
22.08.20	Clermont - Caen	0:0
20.12.19	Caen - Clermont	0:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
28.10.14	Caen - Clermont	4:3 ET
French Ligue 2
28.02.14	Caen - Clermont	2:1
24.09.13	Clermont - Caen	2:2

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