Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 4

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: The Oval (Caernarfon)

Referee: Williams B. (Wal)


	Caernarfon Town		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.2	5.25
	1.62	3.85	4.65
	1.64	4.05	4.9
	1.67	3.73	4.96	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.64	3.8	4.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.58)	3.94 ↓ (3.95)	5.09 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caernarfon Town
58.5%

Draw
23.4%

Bala Town
18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Caernarfon Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Bala Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Caernarfon Town - Bala Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Caernarfon Town will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Caernarfon Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts C. (G) 9. Davies A. 21. Evans C. 8. Gosset D. 6. Lewis I. 23. Lock J. 7. Mendes P. 5. Mooney P. 2. Owen M. 27. Sears R. 15. Smith D.	1. Torrance J. (G) 5. Bell W. 8. Burke N. (C) 44. Dean H. 4. Digbeu N. 3. Hall L. 17. Ibrahim O. 99. Mehasseb H. 7. Mendes L. 10. Owen J. 23. White R.
Substitutes
12. Abadaki O. 19. Bradley S. 17. Downey S. 39. Ellis O. 24. Harrison K. 10. Thomas D. 13. Thomas H. (G)	77. Beck L. 11. Higgins L. 14. Lumeka L. 6. McGiveron D. 9. Tarasenko J. 20. Tierney A. 16. Walls J.
Coaches
Davies R.	Fisher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Mendes P. ↓, Abadaki O. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Evans C. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
61', Mendes L. 🟥,
61', Mooney P. 🟨,
65', Ibrahim O. ↓, McGiveron D. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Mooney P. ⚽,
72', Hall L. ↓, Walls J. ↑,
78', Mehasseb H. ↓, Lumeka L. ↑,
84', Gosset D. ↓, Downey S. ↑,
84', Lock J. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Abadaki O. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.

Caernarfon is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bala Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Caernarfon is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Caernarfon will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
22.08.25	Flint Town United - Caernarfon Town	2:5 ✺
16.08.25	Caernarfon Town - Llanelli	6:1 ✺
09.08.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town	2:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.08.25	Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWW
- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
22.08.25	Bala Town - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Bala Town - Flint Town United	1:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Guilsfield - Bala Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Bala Town - Aberystwyth Town	5:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.04.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
21.03.25	Caernarfon Town - Bala Town	5:0
31.01.25	Bala Town - Caernarfon Town	1:3
11.01.25	Bala Town - Caernarfon Town	0:2
26.08.24	Caernarfon Town - Bala Town	0:0
21.04.24	Caernarfon Town - Bala Town	2:2
08.03.24	Bala Town - Caernarfon Town	1:1
28.11.23	Bala Town - Caernarfon Town	1:1

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