Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: The Oval (Caernarfon)

Referee: Wright R. (Wal)


	Caernarfon Town		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7
	1.32	4.95	7.5
	1.3	5.45	10.1
	1.41	4.72	6.76	Watch
	1.35	4.75	8
	1.33	4.85	8
	1.43	3.83	4.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)	4.79 ↑ (4.34)	7.45 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caernarfon Town
68.4%

Draw
19.2%

Llanelli
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.3%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caernarfon Town's performance.

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Caernarfon Town - Llanelli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts C. (G) 11. Clarke Z. 9. Davies A. 17. Downey S. 8. Gosset D. (C) 3. Jones M. 6. Lewis I. 7. Mendes P. 2. Owen M. 27. Sears R. 15. Smith D.	12. Lewis M. (G) 22. Baker J. 10. Bonthron A. 2. Bright H. 9. Cann E. 18. Caramella-Gerrard L. 4. Cronin S. 6. Hopkins J. (C) 20. Lester J. 7. Lloyd J. 8. Wharton T.
Substitutes
39. Ellis O. 21. Evans C. 24. Harrison K. 23. Lock J. 5. Mooney P. 10. Thomas D. 13. Thomas H. (G)	17. Booth R. 15. Gibbings B. 11. Jenkins T. 16. Norris J. 14. Parsons S. S. 19. Williams D.
Coaches
Davies R.	John L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Davies A. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 0, Clarke Z. (Pen),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
47', 3 - 0, Sears R. ⚽,
49', 4 - 0, Davies A. ⚽,
51', Lloyd J. 🟨,
62', Bonthron A. ↓, Jenkins T. ↑,
62', Caramella-Gerrard L. ↓, Gibbings B. ↑,
64', Clarke Z. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
64', Mendes P. ↓, Lock J. ↑,
69', 5 - 0, Evans C. ⚽,
74', Sears R. ↓, Mooney P. ↑,
74', Gosset D. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
74', Bright H. ↓, Parsons S. S. ↑,
74', Wharton T. ↓, Booth R. ↑,
82', Smith D. ↓, Harrison K. ↑,
85', 5 - 1, Cronin S. ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 1, Davies A. ⚽,

Preview

Llanelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Caernarfon is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Caernarfon will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Caernarfon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.08.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town	2:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.08.25	Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town	7:0 ✺
12.07.25	Llandudno - Caernarfon Town	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.05.25	Haverfordwest County - Caernarfon Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWWL
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru Premier
08.08.25	Llanelli - Barry Town United	0:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Ynyshir Albions - Llanelli	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Merthyr Town - Llanelli	6:1 ✺
28.06.25	Pontypridd United - Llanelli	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
12.04.25	Llanelli - Trefelin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
01.12.18	Llanelli - Caernarfon Town	2:2
22.09.18	Caernarfon Town - Llanelli	3:0

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