Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 35

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport


	Cagliari		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.33
	1.75	3.4	5
	1.82	3.68	4.8
	1.78	3.74	4.4	Watch
	1.76	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)	3.63 ↑ (3.33)	4.61 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
53.5%

Draw
26.1%

Ternana
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

27.3%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Cagliari - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Cagliari has the most likely position - 6 (35.41%), project points - 55, currently - 48, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (91%), a small chance of promoted (15%), not chance of win league.

Ternana has the most likely position - 14 (29.32%), project points - 47, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 33, small importance 20, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ternana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cagliari is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie B
22.04.23	Parma - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Cagliari - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
10.04.23	Pisa - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Cagliari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Reggina - Cagliari	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTTW
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
23.04.23	Ternana - Venezia	1:4 ✺
16.04.23	Ternana - Pisa	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Brescia - Ternana	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	SPAL - Ternana	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Ternana - Bari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
07.12.22	Ternana - Cagliari	1:0
23.01.16	Cagliari - Ternana	1:0
12.09.15	Ternana - Cagliari	1:1

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