Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 30

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Reggina		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.38	3.05	3.15
	2.3	3.05	3.05
	2.42	3.09	3.43
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.38	3.04	3.24	Watch
	2.36	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.27)	3.05 ↑ (3)	3.18 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
39.6%

Draw
30.8%

Cagliari
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

31.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	63.6%	9.1%

Reggina - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Cagliari will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 8 (15.15%), project points - 54, currently - 42, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), a very small chance of promoted (5%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cagliari has the most likely position - 5 (15.81%), project points - 56, currently - 42, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of prom. playoffs (76%), a small chance of promoted (15%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 35, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Reggio Calabria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cagliari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reggio Calabria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Reggio Calabria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
04.03.23	Reggina - Parma	0:1 ✺
28.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Reggina - Modena	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Cittadella - Reggina	3:2 ✺
11.02.23	Reggina - Pisa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.03.23	Cagliari - Ascoli	4:1 ✺
05.03.23	Brescia - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
01.03.23	Cagliari - Genoa	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Venezia - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Bari - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.10.22	Cagliari - Reggina	1:1

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