Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	DSports 4
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Ecuador	DSports 4
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	20 Mediaset, Infinity+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
Norway	VG+
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Paramount+


	Cagliari		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.95	5.4	Watch
	1.68	3.94	5.53
	1.27	5.26	11.79	Watch
	1.64	3.8	5.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.74)	4.15 ↑ (3.7)	6.72 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cagliari
62.2%

Draw
23.4%

Frosinone
14.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

25.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

27.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cagliari's performance.

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cagliari - Frosinone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Cagliari (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cagliari will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Ciocci G. (G) 28. Zappa G. (C) 32. Pedro J. 6. Luperto S. 3. Idrissi R. 20. Rog M. 4. Mazzitelli L. 21. Cavuoti N. 10. Gaetano G. 29. Borrelli G. 9. Kilicsoy S.	75. Pisseri M. (G) 21. Oyono J. 2. Cittadini G. 6. Gelli J. 79. Bracaglia G. 24. Ndow A. 16. Cichella M. 18. Grosso F. 17. Kvernadze G. 90. Vergani E. 32. Masciangelo E.
Substitutes
8. Adopo M. 19. Belotti A. 1. Caprile E. (G) 14. Deiola A. 18. Di Pardo A. 94. Esposito Se. 17. Felici M. 98. Franke A. 99. Grandu N. 27. Liteta J. 2. Palestra M. 30. Pavoletti L. 16. Prati M. 15. Rodriguez J. 34. Sarno V. (G)	14. Calo G. 3. Calvani G. 28. Cichero A. 40. Colley M. 77. Dixon D. 8. Koutsoupias I. 12. Lolic E. (G) 15. Obleac M. 22. Palmisani L. (G) 27. Raychev A. 46. Toci M.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Cittadini G. 🟨,
2', 1 - 0, Gaetano G. (Pen),
36', 1 - 1, Vergani E. ⚽, Gelli J. (A),
45', Zappa G. ↓, Di Pardo A. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
46', Rog M. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
59', Cichella M. ↓, Koutsoupias I. ↑,
60', Oyono J. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
62', Grosso F. 🟨,
66', Grosso F. ↓, Calo G. ↑,
66', Ndow A. ↓, Raychev A. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Borrelli G. ⚽, Felici M. (A),
68', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Adopo M. ↑,
77', Gaetano G. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Felici M. ⚽, Idrissi R. (A),
81', Bracaglia G. ↓, Toci M. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Cavuoti N. ⚽, Esposito Se. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Cagliari is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
19.09.25	Lecce - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Cagliari - Parma	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Napoli - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Cagliari - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Cagliari - Virtus Entella	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLTW
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
19.09.25	Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Padova - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Palermo - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Frosinone - Avellino	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Monza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.01.24	Frosinone - Cagliari	3:1
29.10.23	Cagliari - Frosinone	4:3
Italian Serie B
15.04.23	Cagliari - Frosinone	0:0
27.11.22	Frosinone - Cagliari	2:2
Italian Serie A
20.04.19	Cagliari - Frosinone	1:0
02.12.18	Frosinone - Cagliari	1:1
Coppa Italia
17.08.13	Cagliari - Frosinone	1:2 ET

Upcoming Matches