Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Héroes de San Ramón (Cajamarca)


	Cajamarca		Deportivo Municipal

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	9	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9	Watch
	1.35	5.01	8.78
	1.25	4.8	8.5
	1.3	5.4	9.7	Watch
	1.28	5.4	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.42)	5.19 ↑ (4.45)	9 ↑ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
71.8%

Draw
17.9%

Deportivo Municipal
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

20.9%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

20%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.

Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: Cajamarca will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (G) 25. Requena P. 19. Randazzo J. 6. Gutierrez A. 27. Trujillo L. (C) 8. Sanchez J. 14. Diez C. 10. Ramirez E. 20. Abisab M. 11. Gentile G. 17. Fernandez R.	33. Solis C. (G) 26. Toledo J. 5. Ciucci E. 15. Cavagna F. 36. Yanez A. 22. Cespedes J. (C) 18. Flores C. 10. Perez Garcia M. 19. Correa Vilela E. I. 39. Rodriguez F. 32. Erustes P.
Substitutes
2. Canales E. 30. Fajardo J. 5. Fuentes J. 4. Gambetta G. 3. Medina J. (G) 18. Mejia C. 15. Ortiz Perez J. 13. Peraza F. 26. Rabanal E.	35. Ampuero A. 97. Cabrera F. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 16. Galvez del Cuadro S. 13. Moyano D. 14. Nunes J. 77. Olascuaga 21. Romero J. 3. Rugel L.
Coaches
Ramacciotti C.	Acasiete S.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 2.

Recent matches Cajamarca is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Municipal has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Municipal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cajamarca is indisputable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Cajamarca won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
15.09.23	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	4:2 ✺
03.09.23	Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
28.08.23	ADT Tarma - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
21.08.23	Cajamarca - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:2 ✺
15.08.23	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTTWT
- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
16.09.23	Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo	0:3 ✺
10.09.23	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Boys	0:3 ✺
20.08.23	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Deportivo Municipal	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
30.04.23	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	2:0
04.10.22	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	1:2
14.05.22	Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal	4:3
17.07.21	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	1:1
09.02.20	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	0:0
20.10.19	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	0:0
04.05.19	Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal	2:2

Upcoming Matches