Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11

Date: 27 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Iván Elías Moreno (Lima)


	Deportivo Municipal		Sport Boys

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.75
	2.56	3.22	2.65
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.5	3.38	2.76	Watch
	2.47	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.63)	3.28 ↓ (3.32)	2.72 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Municipal
37.5%

Draw
28.3%

Sport Boys
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.9%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Deportivo Municipal - Sport Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Sport Boys will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Municipal: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 26. Toledo J. 3. Rugel L. 5. Ciucci E. 22. Cespedes J. (C) 97. Cabrera F. 10. Perez Garcia M. 14. Nunes J. 39. Flores C. 18. Rodriguez F. 32. Erustes P.	1. Villete A. (G) 3. Vasquez C. 4. Ramos C. (C) 14. Paz Benitez O. 19. Milo F. 31. Carbajal C. 24. Uribe E. 22. Rios J. 17. Morales J. 20. Roca F. 29. Contin N.
Substitutes
35. Ampuero A. . Cavagna F. 19. Correa Vilela E. I. 16. Galvez del Cuadro S. 13. Moyano D. 77. Olascuaga 33. Solis C. (G) 37. Vega C. 36. Yanez A.	98. Carranza L. 10. Chavez J. 18. Conde J. 6. Cuba R. 8. Mero E. 30. Pena K. 12. Quispe I. (G) 25. Salazar R. 2. Schuler W.
Coaches
Celis A.	Gamboa F.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 2.

Municipal has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sport Boys is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Municipal won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
20.08.23	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Deportivo Municipal	5:2 ✺
01.08.23	Deportivo Municipal - ADT Tarma	1:2 ✺
24.07.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Municipal	4:1 ✺
17.07.23	Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
21.08.23	Sport Boys - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
16.08.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Sport Boys - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sport Boys	4:0 ✺
31.07.23	Sport Boys - FBC Melgar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
08.04.23	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	0:2
07.08.22	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Boys	2:2
13.03.22	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	1:2
03.09.21	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Boys	0:1
30.04.21	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	3:1
05.11.20	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	1:0
25.09.20	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	1:1

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