Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 7 August 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)


	Deportivo Garcilaso		Deportivo Municipal

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	8	Watch
	1.25	5.25	8.25
	1.25	6.4	8.5
	1.3	5.63	9.17
	1.22	5.5	9
	1.27	5.85	10.25	Watch
	1.25	5.4	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.42)	5.72 ↑ (3.99)	9.02 ↑ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Garcilaso
73.5%

Draw
16.2%

Deportivo Municipal
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

23.2%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

22.4%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Garcilaso's performance.

Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Garcilaso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Deportivo Garcilaso - Deportivo Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Municipal will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Penny D. (C) 3. Rambal A. 2. Salazar H. 13. Lojas J. 27. Bazan J. 28. Dioses D. 25. Paucar E. 7. Gomez A. 30. Quevedo K. 32. Giordana S. 24. Caraza C.	1. Rivadeneyra S. (C) 13. Moyano D. 3. Rugel L. 23. Cabrera E. 30. Ortega Barquero F. A. 14. Nunes J. 19. Correa Vilela E. I. 18. Flores C. 97. Cabrera F. 39. Rodriguez F. 32. Erustes P.
Substitutes
21. Barbieri J. (G) 11. Betancourt J. 15. Mendez P. 17. Obeso J. 4. Olaya A. 20. Parodi J. 22. Rodriguez P. 10. Rojas J. 16. Zuniga P.	16. Galvez del Cuadro S. 77. Olascuaga 34. Panduro M. 21. Romero J. 33. Solis C. (G) 26. Toledo J. 37. Vega C.
Coaches
Celico J.	Celis A.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 19).

Recent matches Deportivo Garcilaso is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Municipal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Garcilaso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Garcilaso is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
30.07.23	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
15.07.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - ADT Tarma	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:5 ✺
01.07.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar	2:2 ✺
24.06.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TLWTW
- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
01.08.23	Deportivo Municipal - ADT Tarma	1:2 ✺
24.07.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Municipal	4:1 ✺
17.07.23	Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
25.06.23	Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
06.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:3

Deportivo Garcilaso - Deportivo Municipal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide