Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 13

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Iván Elías Moreno (Lima)


	Deportivo Municipal		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.39	3.02	2.25
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.24	3.5	2.16	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (4.12)	3.3 ↓ (3.75)	2.17 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Municipal
29.2%

Draw
28.1%

Universidad César Vallejo
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

24.9%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

24%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Municipal's performance.

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad César Vallejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Municipal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad César Vallejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). César Vallejo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Solis C. (G) 26. Toledo J. 3. Rugel L. 5. Ciucci E. 22. Cespedes J. (C) 10. Perez Garcia M. 97. Cabrera F. 18. Flores C. 77. Olascuaga 39. Rodriguez F. 32. Erustes P.	12. Rabines M. (G) 14. Cabello C. 6. Garces R. 4. Fleitas L. (C) 32. Madrid J. 33. Benitez E. 25. Fuentes A. 7. Velez J. 8. Ysique F. 20. Noronha O. 17. Mena Y.
Substitutes
15. Cavagna F. 13. Moyano D. 14. Nunes J. 30. Ortega Barquero F. A. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 21. Romero J. 37. Vega C. 36. Yanez A.	1. Grados C. (G) 97. Lujan J. 24. Olaya S. 2. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 23. Quinteros R. 27. Ramirez A. 13. Rodriguez N. 16. Torres S. 30. Villacorta A.
Coaches
Celis A.	Mosquera R.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 0.

Municipal has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

César Vallejo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

César Vallejo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

César Vallejo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Municipal won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
10.09.23	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Boys	0:3 ✺
20.08.23	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Deportivo Municipal	5:2 ✺
01.08.23	Deportivo Municipal - ADT Tarma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
04.09.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Atlético Grau	5:0 ✺
28.08.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
21.08.23	Universidad César Vallejo - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
17.08.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
11.08.23	Universidad César Vallejo - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
24.04.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	1:1
29.10.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	1:1
02.07.22	Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo	1:4
26.09.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	2:0
29.03.21	Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo	0:4
21.11.20	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	0:1
01.02.20	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	1:1

Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide