Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 12

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Setúbal		Leiria

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2	Watch
	3.1	3.15	2.11
	3.38	3.37	2.21
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	3.28	3.24	2.06	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.68)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	2.15 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
29%

Draw
28.5%

Leiria
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27.6%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Setúbal's form might have worsened.

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Setúbal - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 0.

Setúbal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leiria is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Setúbal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leiria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
03.12.22	Setúbal - Amora	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Belenenses - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
13.11.22	Setúbal - Real SC	3:5 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.11.22	Pero Pinheiro - Setúbal	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
05.11.22	Académica Coimbra - Setúbal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWL
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 3
10.12.22	Leiria - Real SC	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Moncarapachense - Leiria	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Leiria - Caldas	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Fontinhas - Leiria	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
21.08.22	Leiria - Setúbal	4:0
01.05.22	Setúbal - Leiria	1:2
09.04.22	Leiria - Setúbal	2:1
17.12.21	Setúbal - Leiria	0:2
21.08.21	Leiria - Setúbal	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.05.21	Leiria - Setúbal	2:1
Liga Portugal
25.03.12	Setúbal - Leiria	1:0

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