Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)


	Caldiero Terme		Castellanzese

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.72
	2.35	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.34	3.14	2.81
	2.33	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.32)	3.21 ↓ (3.33)	2.77 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
38.9%

Draw
28.3%

Castellanzese
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

27.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Caldiero Terme - Castellanzese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caldiero Terme won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Caldiero Terme won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Caldiero Terme	6	2	3	1	9:8	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.01.26	Pavia - Caldiero Terme	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Varesina - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Caldiero Terme - Vogherese	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Villa Valle - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Sondrio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTLL
- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.01.26	Castellanzese - Breno	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Castellanzese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Milan Futuro - Castellanzese	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Castellanzese - Chievo	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Leon - Castellanzese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
14.09.25	Castellanzese - Caldiero Terme	0:0
14.04.24	Caldiero Terme - Castellanzese	2:1
03.12.23	Castellanzese - Caldiero Terme	2:2

Caldiero Terme - Castellanzese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide