Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 18

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Pavia		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.35	1.82
	3.48	3.47	1.93	Watch
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.76	3.55	1.92
	3.66	3.4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.05)	3.35 (3.35)	1.9 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavia
25.2%

Draw
27%

Caldiero Terme
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

27.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.3%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pavia - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caldiero Terme will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caldiero Terme (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
28', 1 - 0, Poesio C. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Liberati F. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Mauri M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
90+7', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Pavia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Caldiero Terme has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Caldiero Terme could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Caldiero Terme	6	2	3	1	9:8	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.25	Pavia - Chievo	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Pavia	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Pavia - Casatese	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Scanzorosciate - Pavia	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Pavia - Leon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.25	Varesina - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Caldiero Terme - Vogherese	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Villa Valle - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Sondrio	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Brusaporto - Caldiero Terme	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLLW

Pavia - Caldiero Terme: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide