Match Info

ITALY: Coppa Italia Serie C - Semi-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Caldiero Terme		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.75	2.25
	3.76	2.94	2.19
	3.57	2.84	2.2	Watch
	3.86	2.82	2.19	Watch
	3.25	2.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.42)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	2.22 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
26%

Draw
32.6%

Giana Erminio
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

32.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

34.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldiero Terme's form might have worsened.

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giana Erminio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caldiero Terme, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giana Erminio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Crespi G. M. (G) 33. Mazzolo F. 44. Nessi R. 13. Pelagatti C. 26. Mondini G. 8. Filiciotto A. (C) 3. Parodi G. 24. Gobetti N. 90. Scappini S. 20. Florio M. 97. Cazzadori D.	29. Moro L. (G) 27. Alborghetti M. 47. Scaringi M. 13. Colombara M. 23. Caferri L. 4. Nichetti M. 14. Marotta M. 18. De Maria V. 10. Lamesta A. 8. Montipo M. 9. Tirelli M.
Substitutes
91. Aldegheri L. (G) 9. Caccavo L. 10. Fasan N. 4. Gattoni T. 15. Gecchele P. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 11. Marras T. 28. Molnar I. 14. Pelamatti A. 21. Rihai A. 47. Squarzoni S. A. 7. Zerbato L.	17. Avinci G. 15. Ballabio M. 37. Bassanini R. 73. Buzzi E. 12. Buzzi G. (G) . Capelli A. 6. Ferri L. 22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 21. Pala A. 77. Piazza A. 7. Pinto D. 24. Pirotta D. 99. Renda F. 19. Stuckler D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Gobetti N. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, De Maria V. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Florio M. ⚽,
36', Caferri L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Alborghetti M. ↓, Ferri L. ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Scaringi M. ⚽,
61', Montipo M. ↓, Stuckler D. ↑,
67', Florio M. 🟨,
69', 2 - 3, Lamesta A. ⚽,
74', Parodi G. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
75', Scappini S. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
75', Mazzolo F. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
78', Florio M. 🟨,
78', Nessi R. 🟥,
79', Tirelli M. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
81', Cazzadori D. ↓, Gecchele P. ↑,
86', Filiciotto A. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
90+6', Caccavo L. 🟨,
90+6', Marotta M. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Caldiero Terme is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giana Erminio is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caldiero Terme won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Caldiero Terme won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Caldiero Terme - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Giana Erminio - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.34%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Alcione - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Caldiero Terme - Trento	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.01.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
18.01.25	Pro Vercelli - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWTL
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.25	Union Clodiense - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Giana Erminio - FeralpiSalò	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.01.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
18.01.25	Giana Erminio - Renate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
22.01.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
29.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	1:0

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