Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: M&P Group 3G (Tonypandy)

Referee: Kenny R. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Cambrian United		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.60	5.00
	1.36	4.95	5.9
	1.44	5.72	6
	1.41	5.63	5.6	Watch
	1.42	5.65	5.1
	1.4	5.37	5.91	Watch
	1.36	5.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	5.3 ↑ (4.25)	5.62 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambrian United
66%

Draw
17.5%

Holywell Town
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

21.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

20.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambrian United's performance.

Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cambrian United - Holywell Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cambrian United will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cambrian United (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Cambrian United (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambrian United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Absalom K. (G) 15. Beecher J. 40. Bright H. 10. Eason L. 4. Evans A. 19. Hughes C. 6. John A. 5. Jones K. 12. Strinati C. 7. Thomas F. 8. Woodford J.	1. Swindell A. (G) 2. Bedford C. 7. Bibby T. 34. Edwards R. (C) 18. Hughes C. 16. McGiveron D. 28. Morris H. 17. Reed J. 19. Sconce J. 12. Tierney J. 27. Yonsian F.
Substitutes
36. Allen J. 9. Bonthron A. 23. Joseph J. 20. Karadogan J. 18. Lewis K. 13. Morgan M. (G) 14. Morris J.	20. Baker S. 31. Collins E. (G) 3. Davies M. 9. Davies O. 8. Dogan T. 14. Murtas F. 10. Winslade M.
Coaches
Williams L.	Haseldin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Reed J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Eason L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Reed J. ↓, Winslade M. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Eason L. ⚽,
56', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
68', Thomas F. 🟨,
70', John A. ↓, Lewis K. ↑,
70', Hughes C. ↓, Karadogan J. ↑,
71', Thomas F. ↓, Bonthron A. ↑,
71', Sconce J. ↓, Davies O. ↑,
71', Bedford C. ↓, Murtas F. ↑,
78', Beecher J. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Yonsian F. ⚽,
85', McGiveron D. 🟨,
90+3', McGiveron D. ↓, Dogan T. ↑,
90+3', Morris H. ↓, Baker S. ↑,
90+4', Eason L. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

Cambrian United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Holywell Town is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Cambrian United is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Cambrian United: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cambrian United	12	5	3	4	21:32	-11	18
16	Holywell	12	0	2	10	13:38	-25	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.09.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Cambrian United	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Cambrian United - Pen-y-Bont	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Cambrian United	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Haverfordwest County - Cambrian United	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	Cambrian United - Flint Town United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTLWW
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.09.26	Holywell Town - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Holywell Town	6:2 ✺
28.08.26	Holywell Town - Caernarfon Town	3:5 ✺
21.08.26	Holywell Town - Barry Town United	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Llandudno - Holywell Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

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