The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 47.9%
Draw 27.5%
Grimsby Town 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
29.3%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
28.8%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grimsby Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambridge United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Cambridge United - Grimsby Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 45% โ 100%.
1. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 26. Gibbons J. 4. Ball D. (C) 17. Mpanzu P. 14. Knight B. 11. Kaikai S. 15. Mayor A. 9. Appere L.
31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 15. Turi G. D. 14. Amaluzor J. 4. Green K. (C) 29. Oduor C. 9. Kabia J. 39. Cook A.
Substitutes
7. Brophy J. 25. Hughes B. (G) 27. McConnell G. 5. Morrison M. 24. Nevitt E. 3. Purrington B. 8. Smith K.
18. Burns D. 1. Pym C. (G) 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 3. Sweeney J. 30. Vernam C. 7. Walker J. 21. Warren T.
Coaches
Harris N.
Artell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Knight B. ⚽, Mayor A. (A),
42', Turi G. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Kacurri M. 🟨,
59', Knight B. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Turi G. D. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
69', Green K. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
73', Appere L. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
73', Mpanzu P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
80', Mayor A. ↓, Brophy J. ↑,
89', Oduor C. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
90+3', Staunton R. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, McJannet C. ⚽,
90+5', Bennett L. ↓, McConnell G. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2.
Cambridge is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Grimsby's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Cambridge will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cambridge: Morrison M.
(Inactive)
Smith K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pym C.
(Inactive)
Rose D.
(Inactive)
Svanthorsson J.
(Illness)
There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Grimsby: 7.55%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Grimsby
9
3
4
2
13:10
3
13
Last Results with these Odds
Grimsby Town - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Eastwood J. (G) 
Mpanzu P. 
Kaikai S. 
Appere L. 
Kacurri M. 
Staunton R. 
Turi G. D. 
Oduor C. 
Hughes B. (G) 
Pym C. (G) 
Soonsup-Bell J. 
Artell D. 
