The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 28.7%
Draw 27.3%
Grimsby Town 44%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.1%
27.5%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
26.8%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Gillingham - Grimsby Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Gillingham (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Gillingham (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright O. (G) 5. Smith A. 19. Beckles O. (C) 20. Daley J. 22. Freeman N. 14. McKenzie R. 8. Little A. 3. McManus C. 12. McCleary G. 10. Hale R. 16. Brophy J.
31. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 12. Foulkes J. 9. Morgan I. 15. Turi G. D. 14. Amaluzor J. 4. Green K. (C) 7. Walker J. 30. Vernam C. 39. Cook A.
Substitutes
6. Coleman E. 23. Dack B. 26. Dobbs L. 39. Eaves T. 18. Kendall S. 40. Luthra R. (G) 24. Waldock H.
19. Andrews J. 28. Cartwright F. 1. Cartwright H. (G) 8. Doyle C. 10. Finch S. 11. Reynolds R. 29. Shelton M.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Artell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Rodgers H. ⚽,
24', McCleary G. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Hale R. ⚽, McCleary G. (A),
43', Turi G. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', Amaluzor J. 🟨,
53', Little A. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Morgan I. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Amaluzor J. ↓, Finch S. ↑,
62', Kacurri M. 🟨,
63', 1 - 3, Turi G. D. ⚽,
66', McCleary G. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
67', Freeman N. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,
70', 1 - 4, Finch S. ⚽, Turi G. D. (A),
72', Turi G. D. ↓, Shelton M. ↑,
72', Morgan I. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
79', Little A. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
81', Green K. ↓, Doyle C. ↑,
81', Walker J. ↓, Cartwright F. ↑,
89', Finch S. 🟨,
90', Coleman E. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 7th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 0.
Gillingham has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Grimsby has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Gillingham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Grimsby is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Gillingham: Goodwin W.
(Injury)
Gordon L.
(Inactive)
Harris K.
(Inactive)
King E.
(Injury)
Maclorg L.
(Inactive)
Obiero Z.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Grimsby: Andrews J.
(Inactive)
Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Shelton M.
(Injury)
Staunton R.
(Injury)
Sweeney J.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Inactive).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Gillingham has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:12 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gillingham against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 1:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Grimsby
13
4
5
4
19:16
3
17
13
Gillingham
13
4
5
4
18:18
0
17
Outrights of English League Two for now
Grimsby: 6.71% Gillingham: 1.8%
Last Results with these Odds
Gillingham - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.14%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Grimsby Town - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.39%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.